Wednesday, May 8, 2013

Gun Homicide Rate Down 49% Since 1993 Peak; Public Unaware

The story from Pew Research is linked here.
Compared with 1993, the peak of U.S. gun homicides, the firearm homicide rate was 49% lower in 2010, and there were fewer deaths, even though the nation’s population grew.
 So, while the media is up in arms about guns and screaming for gun control, gun homicides have dropped by half.

What has changed in that time?  There's been a massive movement toward right to carry.  For an illustrated map, check out the site linked here.


tom said...

Yeah, but crime is down everywhere... red states, blue states, conceal-carry states, Chicago, Atlanta. Which politicians are doing what and what kind of political movements are going on... these things are just about irrelevant. Changes in police tactics might have a small effect. Otherwise it's demographics. Fewer children were born in the 70s, 80s, and 90s than in the 40s, 50s, 60s. Fewer young people = less crime. That's the story right there and pretty much the whole story.

tom said...

oh... and I forgot lead. Less lead helps too.

Andrew said...

The Mother Jones lead theory is an interesting one. Demographics are certainly part of it, however the matter is too complex to say, "This is the only cause," or even, "These two causes explain it all." They don't.

That said, I do love innovative approaches and theories.

As we get more statistical information on private ownership of firearms and CCW permits, the trend seems to be that ownership and carry at worst have no affect on crime, but likely have some helpful impact on reducing crime.

Former anti-gun researchers like Gary Kleck have chosen to be intellectually honest and publish findings they don't like on this matter.

More to the point, though, if you just follow media coverage, especially anti-gun commentators, you'd think gun crime was up. Whatever the cause, and however much one dislikes guns, it is fair to point out that's an incorrect assertion.