Saturday, October 8, 2016

About that Arctic Sea Ice

The poor polar bear was the subject of much consternation and ecochondriac hand-wringing in past years.  Good news.  It looks like they're going to be okay, at least for a little while:  Experts said Arctic sea ice would melt entirely by September 2016 - they were wrong

Dire predictions that the Arctic would be devoid of sea ice by September this year have proven to be unfounded after latest satellite images showed there is far more now than in 2012.
There is still less ice than in 1981, but the really scary predictions aren't materializing.  Many experts still say we're in trouble, but they're not thrilled with the more shrill alarmists:

Dr Ed Hawkins, associate professor in the Department of Meterology, at the University of Reading, said: “There has been one prominent scientist who has regularly made more dramatic, and incorrect, in my view predictions suggesting that we would by now be in ice-free conditions.

“There are very serious risks from continued climatic changes and a melting Arctic, but we do not serve the public and policy-makers well by exaggerating those risks.

“We will soon see an ice-free summer in the Arctic, but there is a real danger of ‘crying wolf’ and that does not help anyone.

“As global temperatures rise, we will see a continuing decline in Arctic sea ice extent, although this will happen somewhat erratically, rather like a ball bouncing down a bumpy hill.
So far, even the less dire predictions of the global warming believers haven't materialized.  In fact, the acolytes of warming have a dismal track record:  95% of Climate Models Agree: The Observations Must be Wrong

Normally in science, if your models don't work, you design new ones that do accurately model the real world.  Otherwise, your position is faith-based, not science-based.

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